There is no single best trade to learn, because "best" means different things depending on what you are optimizing for. On pay, it is elevator installer at a $109,910 median. On growth, solar photovoltaic installer at +36.5%. On how easy it is to actually get hired, heavy truck driving with 214,500 openings a year. On all three together, the answer is electrician: a $63,190 median, 9.2% growth, and 72,700 openings a year — more than any other building trade.
The mistake most "best trades" lists make is ranking on pay alone. A trade that pays $102,000 but is projected to shrink 5% and has 2,300 openings a year is a worse bet for someone starting out than one paying $61,000 with 40,600 openings, however the headline reads.
Below is the full comparison so you can weigh it yourself, followed by the best answer to each of the four questions people are really asking.
Electrician
Best all-round on pay, growth and openings
+36.5%
Fastest growth (solar PV installers)
$109,910
Highest median (elevator installers)
20 trades compared on what actually matters
Pay and growth come from the Bureau of Labor Statistics; tuition medians are calculated from the 6,011 program listings on Trade Schools Review. "Openings" is the average number of jobs to be filled each year through 2035, from growth and retirements combined — the number that decides whether you can get hired.
| Trade | Median pay | Growth to 2035 | Openings/yr | Typical entry | Our median tuition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electricians | $63,190 | 9.2% | 72,700 | High school | $5,888 |
| Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers | $61,010 | 10.9% | 40,600 | Certificate | $5,800 |
| Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters | $63,800 | 6.8% | 42,000 | High school | $5,518 |
| Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers | $95,320 | 10.3% | 10,900 | High school | — |
| Industrial Machinery Mechanics | $64,520 | 17.8% | 44,400 | High school | — |
| Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers | $109,910 | 5.7% | 1,900 | High school | — |
| Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Powerhouse, Substation, and Relay | $103,020 | 9.7% | 1,800 | Certificate | — |
| Dental Hygienists | $98,100 | 8.0% | 15,000 | Associate | — |
| Respiratory Therapists | $82,280 | 8.5% | 8,600 | Associate | — |
| Radiologic Technologists and Technicians | $80,110 | 5.0% | 13,000 | Associate | — |
| Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians | $79,870 | 5.4% | 11,400 | Certificate | — |
| Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | $58,640 | 3.8% | 214,500 | Certificate | $4,680 |
| Medical Assistants | $45,690 | 12.9% | 109,700 | Certificate | $5,944 |
| Wind Turbine Service Technicians | $64,120 | 29.5% | 1,500 | Certificate | — |
| Solar Photovoltaic Installers | $53,140 | 36.5% | 4,200 | High school | — |
| Carpenters | $60,580 | 3.9% | 62,800 | High school | $5,498 |
| Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers | $53,750 | 2.4% | 40,300 | High school | $5,084 |
| Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics | $50,620 | 5.0% | 66,200 | Certificate | $6,338 |
| Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses | $64,400 | 3.0% | 51,800 | Certificate | — |
| Surgical Technologists | $64,650 | 5.0% | 7,100 | Certificate | — |
Read across, not down. A high growth percentage in a small occupation produces fewer real jobs than modest growth in a large one: solar installers are growing 36.5% but that is 4,200 openings a year, against 40,600 for HVAC technicians growing 10.9%.
Best all-round: electrician
If you want one answer rather than four, this is it. Electricians combine a $63,190 median with 9.2% projected growth and 72,700 openings a year — more than any other building trade and nearly double plumbing. The top 10% earn over $108,510, so the ceiling is genuinely high, and the entry requirement is a high school diploma.
What makes it the all-round pick is that nothing about it is fragile. The demand comes from several independent directions at once: electrification of heating and vehicles, data center construction, grid replacement, and ordinary building maintenance. If any one of those slows, the others do not.
The cost is time. Most states want around 8,000 hours — roughly four years — before you can sit the journeyman exam, and no route shortens that much. Our guide to becoming an electrician covers the state-by-state requirements.
Best if you want to start earning fastest
Two trades stand out, for different reasons.
HVAC technician is the best short-training-to-pay ratio in the trades. A certificate takes 6 to 12 months at a median tuition of $5,800, and with EPA 608 certification you are employable immediately — no multi-year hour requirement stands between you and independent work, which is the crucial difference from electrical and plumbing. Median pay is $61,010, growth is 10.9%, the fastest of the major building trades, and there are 40,600 openings a year.
Truck driving is faster still. Programs run 3 to 8 weeks at a median of $4,680, and the occupation has 214,500 openings a year — by far the most of any trade. Median pay is $58,640. The trade-offs are real and worth naming: time away from home, 3.8% growth that is slower than most trades, and a working life with health costs that the pay figure does not capture.
Both get you earning within a year. Neither has the ceiling of the licensed building trades.
Best pay ceiling
Three occupations have medians above $100,000, and all three are worth understanding before you chase them.
- Elevator and escalator installers — $109,910 median, $158,890 at the top 10%, entry with a high school diploma and a four-year apprenticeship. The obstacle is scarcity: about 23,790 people do this job nationally and there are roughly 1,900 openings a year, so apprenticeship places are heavily competed for.
- Powerhouse and substation electrical repairers — $103,020 median with 9.7% growth. Small occupation, about 1,800 openings a year, usually entered from an electrical background.
- Power plant operators — $102,040 median, but employment is projected to fall 5.1% through 2035. High pay in a shrinking occupation is the classic trap.
Just below them, electrical power-line installers may be the best risk-adjusted high-pay option: a $95,320 median with 10.3% growth and 10,900 openings a year — considerably more accessible than the three above.
Fastest growing
Solar photovoltaic installers (+36.5%) and wind turbine service technicians (+29.5%) are growing faster than any other trades by a wide margin. Both are real opportunities and both come with the same caveat: they are small. Solar installers have about 4,200 openings a year and wind technicians 1,500, so a percentage that looks transformative describes a modest number of actual jobs, concentrated in particular states.
The more practical growth story is industrial machinery mechanics: 17.8% growth, a $64,520 median, and 44,400 openings a year. That combination — strong growth in a large occupation with no degree requirement — is rarer than either of the renewables trades and easier to enter.
In healthcare-adjacent training, massage therapy (15.3%) and medical assistant (12.9%) also grow fast. Medical assistant has 109,700 openings a year, second only to truck driving, though at a $45,690 median it pays the least of the trades on this page.
Trades to think twice about
Three of the occupations people commonly list as good trades are projected to shrink through 2035. That does not make them unemployable, but it changes the calculation.
- Computer user support specialists — -3.5%. The entry-level help desk role that IT certificate programs feed into is contracting. The ladder above it is not: information security analysts are projected to grow 21% at a $129,180 median. If you take this route, treat the certificate as a first rung rather than a destination.
- Tool and die makers — -9.2%, the steepest decline in this set, despite a solid $64,050 median.
- Power plant operators and water treatment operators — -5.1% and -5.7%. Both pay well and both are shrinking.
Welding deserves a note rather than a warning. At 2.4% growth it is the slowest-growing of the major building trades, and its $53,750 median is the lowest of them. It remains a good trade because pay is unusually skill-dependent — pipe, alloy and specialty work sit far above the median — but the average outcome is weaker than electrical, plumbing or HVAC.
What the numbers do not tell you
Three things matter as much as pay and growth, and none of them appears in a table.
Local demand beats national projections
National figures are averages across 50 very different labor markets. An electrician in a metro with a data center under construction has a different career from one in a town with no commercial building at all, even though both appear in the same $63,190 median. Before committing, look at what is actually being built within commuting distance, and ask local contractors whether they are hiring apprentices.
The route in is often the real constraint
Elevator installer pays best and is close to unobtainable without an apprenticeship place. Meanwhile HVAC and CDL programs have open enrollment and start monthly. For a lot of people the practical question is not "which trade is best" but "which good trade can I actually start this year", and those are different lists.
Bodies wear out at different rates
Roofing, structural iron work and residential plumbing are physically punishing in ways that electrical, controls, and diagnostic HVAC work are not. A trade you cannot still do at 55 is a career with a hidden expiry date, and the trades with the clearest paths off the tools — into supervision, estimating, inspection or your own business — are worth more than their median suggests. First-line supervisors of construction trades earn a median of $79,920, and inspectors $74,690.
How to choose between them
Work through these in order. Most people get a clear answer by the third question.
- How soon do you need to be earning? Under a year: HVAC, CDL, medical assistant, pharmacy technician. Two to five years, paid while you train: electrician, plumber, elevator installer via apprenticeship.
- Can you get an apprenticeship? If yes, take it — you are paid throughout and finish with no tuition debt. If places are scarce where you live, a trade school certificate makes you a stronger applicant.
- What is actually being built near you? National projections are averages. A data center or battery plant within commuting distance changes the local picture for electricians and industrial mechanics more than any national figure.
- What can your body do for thirty years? Roofing and structural iron work pay reasonably and punish you. Electrical, controls and IT-adjacent work do not.
- Do you want to run a business eventually? Plumbing and HVAC have the lowest equipment cost to start and the most reliable emergency demand.
Whatever you pick, check your state's licensing rules before enrolling anywhere. The hours a program gives you only count if your state counts them, and that is decided by the board, not the school.
Key Takeaways
- ✓ Electrician is the best all-round trade on the numbers: a $63,190 median, 9.2% growth and 72,700 openings a year, more than any other building trade.
- ✓ HVAC has the best ratio of short training to pay — 6 to 12 months at a $5,800 median tuition for a $61,010 median wage and 10.9% growth.
- ✓ Elevator installers pay most at $109,910, but with only about 1,900 openings a year the route in is highly competitive.
- ✓ Solar and wind technicians grow fastest at 36.5% and 29.5%, but together account for about 5,700 openings a year against 40,600 for HVAC alone.
- ✓ Industrial machinery mechanics is the underrated pick: 17.8% growth, $64,520 median and 44,400 openings a year with no degree required.
- ✓ Computer user support, tool and die making, and power plant operation are all projected to shrink through 2035.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the best trade to learn in 2026?
On the combination of pay, growth and hiring volume, electrician: a $63,190 median wage, 9.2% projected growth through 2035, and about 72,700 openings a year — more than any other building trade. If you need to start earning sooner, HVAC gives you the best pay for the shortest training, at a $61,010 median after 6 to 12 months of school.
Which trade pays the most?
Elevator and escalator installers, at a median of $109,910 with the top 10% above $158,890. Powerhouse and substation electrical repairers ($103,020) and power plant operators ($102,040) are the only other trades with six-figure medians. All three are small occupations, so openings are scarce and entry is competitive.
Which trade is growing fastest?
Solar photovoltaic installers at 36.5% and wind turbine service technicians at 29.5% projected growth through 2035. Both are small occupations — about 4,200 and 1,500 annual openings respectively. For growth in a large occupation, industrial machinery mechanics at 17.8% with 44,400 openings a year is the stronger practical bet.
What is the easiest trade to get into?
Heavy truck driving: programs run 3 to 8 weeks at a median tuition of $4,680, and the occupation has 214,500 openings a year, more than any other trade. Medical assistant is next with 109,700 openings and 9 to 12 months of training. Both trade a fast start for a lower ceiling than the licensed building trades.
Which trades should I avoid?
Three commonly recommended options are projected to shrink through 2035: computer user support specialists (-3.5%), tool and die makers (-9.2%) and power plant operators (-5.1%). None is unemployable, but each means competing for a shrinking number of roles. Welding is not shrinking but at 2.4% is the slowest-growing major building trade.
Is it better to do an apprenticeship or trade school?
An apprenticeship is financially better wherever you can get one: you are paid from day one, you finish with no tuition debt, and the hours count toward your license. The obstacle is access, since places are competitive and intake is often annual. Trade school starts sooner, has open enrollment, costs a median of around $5,500 to $6,000, and makes you a stronger apprenticeship applicant.